Probabilities


INTRO

Bridge is also a game of statistics . Numbers are important. As a bridger you have to be aware about certain probabilities in order to define the correct playing line. We also used the statistics to make certain choices when building MUTOS.

Occurrences of hand configuarations

 

 

Coverage of the MUTOS openings

- to be constructed


x=2 x=3 x=4 x=5 x=6 x=7 x=8
1-1: 52%
2-0: 48%
2-1: 78%
3-0: 22%
2-2: 40%
3-1: 50%
4-0: 10%
3-2: 68%
4-1: 28%
5-0: 4%
3-3: 36%
4-2: 48%
5-1: 15%
6-0: 1%
4-3: 62%
5-2: 30%
6-1: 7%
7-0: 1%
4-4: 33%
5-3: 47%
6-2: 17%
7-1: 3%
8-0: <1%
We will present also statistical data on the coverage of our bridge system(s) : in how many % of the cases can we use a certain opening. We need the relationship between the distribution-probability and the hcp's of a random hand. As we are great fans of re-use in general, we are happy to re-use the data on this relationship provided by Chiel Verwoest, author of the M.A.F.system.

At the bottom of this page, you find 4 buttons to this data which I used to assemble the coverage picture of RISC and MUTOS. Find also an interesting link to one of Richard Pavlicek's pages on bridge calculators.
 

Coverage MUTOS  Coverage RISC   hcp0-9  hcp10-19   hcp20-29  hcp30-37   R.Pavlicek's Bridge Calculators